I te tau 2021, ka eke te kaweake kakahu me ngā kakahu o Vietnam ki te 39 piriona tāra US?

I ētahi rā kua pahure ake nei, i kī a Nguyen Jinchang, te tumuaki tuarua o te Rōpū Kakahu me te Huruhuru o Vietnam, ko te tau 2020 te tau tuatahi kua pāngia ngā kaweake kakahu me ngā kakahu o Vietnam e te tipu kino o te 10.5% i roto i ngā tau 25. Ko te nui o te kaweake he 35 piriona tāra US anake, he hekenga o te 4 piriona tāra US mai i te 39 piriona tāra US i te tau 2019. Heoi, i roto i te horopaki o te hekenga o te nui o te hokohoko o te umanga kakahu me te kakahu o te ao mai i te US$740 piriona ki te US$600 piriona, he hekenga whānui o te 22%, ko te hekenga o ia kaiwhakataetae he 15%-20% te nuinga, ā, kua heke iho ētahi tae atu ki te 30% nā te kaupapa here wehe. , kāore i tino heke te kaweake kakahu me te kakahu o Vietnam.

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Nā te korenga o te wehenga me te whakamutua o te hanga i te tau 2020, kei roto a Vietnam i ngā whenua kaweake kakahu me ngā kākahu e rima o te ao. Koinei hoki te take nui hei āwhina i ngā kaweake kakahu me ngā kākahu o Vietnam kia noho tonu ki roto i ngā whenua kaweake e rima o runga ahakoa te hekenga nui o ngā kaweake kakahu.

I roto i te pūrongo a McKenzy (mc kenzy) i whakaputaina i te 4 o Hakihea, i tohuhia ko te hua o te umanga kakahu me te kakahu o te ao ka heke ki te 93% i te tau 2020. Neke atu i te 10 ngā waitohu kakahu rongonui me ngā mekameka tuku taonga i te United States kua pakaru, ā, tata ki te 20% te mekameka tuku taonga o te whenua. Tekau mano ngā tāngata kāore he mahi. I taua wā anō, nā te mea kāore i aukatia te hanga, kei te tipu tonu te wāhi mākete o ngā kakahu me ngā kakahu o Vietnam, ka eke ki te taumata o te 20% o te wāhi mākete o US mō te wā tuatahi, ā, kua nohoia e ia te tūranga tuatahi mō ngā marama maha.

I te whakaurunga o ngā whakaaetanga hokohoko kore utu e 13, tae atu ki te EVFTA, ahakoa kāore i ranea hei whakaea i te hekenga, i whai wāhi nui anō hoki rātou ki te whakaiti i ngā ota.

E ai ki ngā matapae, tera pea ka hoki te mākete kakahu me te raranga ki ngā taumata o te tau 2019 i te hauwhā tuarua o te tau 2022 me te hauwhā tuawhā o te tau 2023 i te wā roa rawa. Nō reira, i te tau 2021, ka noho tonu te mauhere i roto i te mate urutā hei tau uaua, kāore hoki i te tino mārama. He maha ngā āhuatanga hou o te mekameka tuku kua puta ake, ā, kua akiakihia ngā kamupene kakahu me te raranga kia urutau noa.

Ko te tuatahi, kua kī te mākete i te ngaru whakahekenga utu, ā, kua whakakapia te ahua o ngā hua kāhua māmā. Nā tēnei anō hoki i hua ake ai te nui rawa o te kaha i te taha kotahi, me te kore rawa o ngā āheinga hou i te taha kotahi, e whakapiki ana i ngā hoko tuihono me te whakaiti i ngā hononga takawaenga.

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I runga i ēnei āhuatanga o te mākete, ko te whāinga nui rawa atu o te umanga kakahu me te kakahu o Vietnam i te tau 2021 ko te 39 piriona tāra US, he tere ake i te mākete whānui i roto i te 9 marama ki te 2 tau. Ki te whakatauritea ki te whāinga teitei, ko te whāinga whānui ko te 38 piriona tāra US i roto i ngā kaweake, nā te mea me tautoko tonu te umanga kakahu me te kakahu i te kāwanatanga mō te whakau i te ōhanga whānui, te kaupapa here moni, me ngā reiti huamoni.

I te 30 o Tīhema, e ai ki te Tari Pūrongo o Vietnam, i hainatia mana e ngā māngai whai mana (ngā karere) o ngā kāwanatanga o Vietnam me Peretānia te Whakaaetanga Tauhokohoko Koreutu o Vietnam-UK (UKVFTA) i Rānana, UK.  I mua atu, i te 11 o Tīhema, 2020, i hainatia e te Minita Ahumahi me te Tauhokohoko o Vietnam, a Chen Junying, me te Hēkeretari Tauhokohoko o te Ao o Peretānia, a Liz Truss, tētahi tuhinga whakaae hei whakamutu i te whiriwhiringa o te whakaaetanga UKVFTA, hei whakatakoto i te turanga mō ngā tikanga ture e tika ana mō te hainatanga ōkawa o ngā whenua e rua.

I tēnei wā, kei te tere ngā rōpū e rua ki te whakaoti i ngā tikanga ā-rohe e tika ana, i runga anō i ngā ture me ngā whakaritenga o ō rātou whenua, me te whakarite kia whakatinanahia tonutia te whakaaetanga mai i te 23:00 i te 31 o Tīhema, 2020.

I roto i te horopaki o te wehenga ōkawa o te UK i te EU me te mutunga o te wā whakawhiti i muri i te wehenga o te EU (31 o Hakihea, 2020), mā te hainatanga o te whakaaetanga UKVFTA ka whakarite kia kore te hokohoko rua i waenganui i a Vietnam me te UK e aukatia i muri i te mutunga o te wā whakawhiti.

Ehara i te mea ka whakatuwhera noa te whakaaetanga UKVFTA i te hokohoko taonga me ngā ratonga, engari ka whakaurua hoki he maha atu o ngā āhuatanga nui, pērā i te tipu matomato me te whanaketanga tauwhiro.

Ko te UK te tuatoru o ngā hoa hokohoko nui rawa atu o Vietnam i Ūropi. E ai ki ngā tatauranga mai i te Tari Whakahaere Matua o ngā Tikanga o Vietnam, i te tau 2019, ko te uara katoa o ngā kawemai me ngā kaweake i waenga i ngā whenua e rua i eke ki te 6.6 piriona tāra US, ā, ko ngā kaweake i eke ki te 5.8 piriona tāra US, ā, ko ngā kawemai i eke ki te 857 miriona tāra US. I waenga i te tau 2011 ki te 2019, ko te tere tipu toharite ā-tau o te rahinga kawemai me te kaweake katoa o Vietnam me Peretānia he 12.1%, he teitei ake i te tere toharite ā-tau o Vietnam, arā, 10%.

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Ko ngā hua matua e kaweakehia ana e Vietnam ki te UK ko ngā waea pūkoro me ā rātou wāhanga tāpiri, ngā kakahu me ngā mea hanga, ngā hu, ngā hua wai, ngā hua rakau me ngā mea hanga rakau, ngā rorohiko me ngā wāhanga, ngā nati kāhew, te kawhe, te pepa, me ētahi atu. Ko ngā mea e kawemaihia ana e Vietnam mai i te UK ko ngā mīhini, ngā taputapu, ngā rongoā, te maitai, me ngā matū. Ko ngā kawemai me ngā kaweake i waenga i ngā whenua e rua he tautoko, ehara i te whakataetae.

Tata ki te US$700 piriona te tapeke o ngā kawemai taonga ā-tau a Peretānia, ā, ko te tapeke o ngā kaweake a Whitināmu ki te UK he 1% noa iho. Nō reira, he nui tonu te wāhi hei tipu ake i ngā hua o Whitināmu i te mākete o te UK.

Whai muri i te Brexit, kāore ngā painga o te "Whakaaetanga Tauhokohoko Koreutu o Vietnam-EU" (EVFTA) e pā ki te mākete o te UK. Nō reira, mā te hainatanga i tētahi whakaaetanga tauhokohoko kore utu rua ka waihangahia he āhuatanga watea mō te whakatairanga i ngā whakarerekētanga, te whakatuwheratanga o ngā mākete me ngā mahi whakahaere tauhokohoko i runga i te whiwhinga i ngā hua pai o ngā whiriwhiringa EVFTA.

I kī te Manatū Ahumahi me te Tauhokohoko o Vietnam ko ētahi o ngā taonga ka taea te tipu ake i te mākete o te UK ko ngā kakahu me ngā kākahu. I te tau 2019, ko te nuinga o te UK e kawemai ana i ngā kakahu me ngā kākahu mai i Vietnam. Ahakoa ko Haina te mākete nui rawa atu i te mākete o te UK, kua heke te kaweake kakahu me ngā kākahu o te whenua ki te UK mā te 8% i roto i ngā tau e rima kua hipa. Haunga Haina, ko Bangladesh, Cambodia me Pakistan e kaweake ana i ngā kakahu me ngā kākahu ki te UK. He painga tō ēnei whenua ki a Vietnam i runga i ngā reiti taake. Nō reira, mā te whakaaetanga hokohoko kore utu i waenganui i a Vietnam me te United Kingdom ka kawea mai he taripa pai, ka āwhina i ngā taonga o Vietnam kia whai painga whakataetae ki ētahi atu kaiwhakataetae.


Wā tuku: Hakihea-31-2020
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